Oklahoma State
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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RankNameGradeRating
26  Craig Nowak JR 31:19
36  Kirubel Erassa SR 31:26
43  Fabian Clarkson JR 31:30
151  Anthoney Armstrong FR 32:00
196  Brian Gohlke JR 32:09
197  Shane Moskowitz SR 32:09
230  Cerake Geberkidane FR 32:16
259  David Osborn SR 32:22
321  Vegard Oelstad JR 32:31
360  noah gade SO 32:36
469  Luis Martinez FR 32:48
512  Matthew Fayers FR 32:53
544  Justin Vilhauer JR 32:56
1,302  Brigham Hedges FR 34:03
1,323  Alexander Johansson SO 34:04
2,085  Noah Gade FR 35:09
National Rank #7 of 311
Midwest Region Rank #1 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 98.3%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 12.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 54.5%
Top 20 at Nationals 94.4%


Regional Champion 88.9%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Craig Nowak Kirubel Erassa Fabian Clarkson Anthoney Armstrong Brian Gohlke Shane Moskowitz Cerake Geberkidane David Osborn Vegard Oelstad noah gade Luis Martinez
Cowboy Jamboree 09/27 319 31:31 30:50 31:11 32:00 32:23 32:31 32:57 32:06 31:55
Bronco Invitational 10/18 841 32:21 32:26 32:18 32:36 33:00
Big 12 Championship 11/01 513 32:05 31:39 31:48 32:36 32:01 32:13 32:00 32:13 32:33 33:23
Midwest Region Championships 11/14 606 31:56 31:48 32:17 32:02 32:31 32:17 32:25
NCAA Championship 11/22 349 30:59 31:35 31:25 31:48 32:18 32:07 32:47





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 98.3% 10.6 335 0.6 2.0 3.7 5.6 7.4 8.5 9.0 9.4 8.2 8.0 6.9 5.5 4.4 3.9 3.4 2.4 2.3 1.6 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.2 55 88.9 8.1 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Craig Nowak 99.8% 28.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.6 2.5 1.8 2.7 2.2 2.7 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.1 1.9 1.9
Kirubel Erassa 99.3% 38.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.1 1.7 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8
Fabian Clarkson 99.2% 46.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.4 0.8 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3
Brian Gohlke 98.3% 145.2
Shane Moskowitz 98.3% 145.8
Cerake Geberkidane 98.3% 162.6
David Osborn 98.3% 174.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Craig Nowak 2.2 28.1 18.9 13.0 10.4 6.1 4.9 3.2 2.5 2.1 1.7 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2
Kirubel Erassa 3.4 11.1 18.8 15.3 11.7 9.0 6.4 4.7 3.5 3.3 2.4 2.1 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
Fabian Clarkson 4.2 7.6 13.7 14.6 12.3 9.4 7.4 5.7 4.0 4.6 2.8 2.5 2.3 1.9 1.4 0.9 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4
Brian Gohlke 20.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.7 2.9 3.5 4.2 4.0 4.1 4.0 4.2 3.8 3.9 3.5 3.8 3.8 2.9 3.2 2.5 2.2 2.2
Shane Moskowitz 21.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.1 2.0 2.6 3.2 3.2 4.0 3.8 4.1 4.5 3.8 3.7 3.4 3.2 2.8 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.2 2.6
Cerake Geberkidane 26.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.6 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.4 2.9 3.1 3.1
David Osborn 30.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.8 2.1 2.6 3.0 2.9 2.4 3.2 3.3 2.6 2.9 2.9 2.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 88.9% 100.0% 88.9 88.9 1
2 8.1% 100.0% 8.1 8.1 2
3 2.0% 58.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.8 1.1 3
4 0.8% 12.5% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.1 4
5 0.1% 28.6% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5
6 0.0% 0.0 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 98.3% 88.9 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 1.7 97.1 1.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 91.6% 1.0 0.9
Oklahoma 58.7% 1.0 0.6
Iowa State 42.0% 1.0 0.4
Total 1.9
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0